It's only mid-October and we're already seeing the fall sports seasons coming to a close in the coming weeks. Field hockey and women's soccer each have three regular season games remaining while volleyball still has 10 more on the schedule.
Field Hockey
Sitting at #7 in the country (rankings updated later today), Louisville field hockey is coming off a two-win weekend. They cruised by Ball State 4-0 on Sunday and had a match for the ages against Duke on Friday night where the Cards came out on top following a shootout.
Justine Sowry's squad is 12-3 on the year with matches against Syracuse, Cornell, and Boston College remaining. Cornell is a hair over .500 on the year, but ACC opponents always prove to be tough. BC is having a down year at 6-8, but Syracuse's record mirrors that of Louisville.
#5 Iowa got swept over the weekend to ranked Michigan and Ohio State, which should bump them down a few spots. #6 Virginia lost their only weekend match to ranked Wake Forest, which might cause them to drop a spot or two. Louisville might move up to #5 by the end of the week.
With the ACC Tournament also remaining and only an 18-team NCAA Tournament field, I'd guess that Louisville will need to go at least 2-1 to close out the regular season and win their first game of the ACC Tournament to earn an NCAA tournament birth. Louisville went 16-6 (3-3 ACC) in 2019 and was one of the first teams out. A 13-6 (3-3 ACC) season the year prior had the same result. Louisville did make it in the NCAA Tournament in 2020 with a 14-6 (3-3 ACC) record, but COVID-19 minimized the number of teams competing that season where the tournament was held spring 2021. So, six losses seems to be right about the cutoff for an at-large bid. Just win out the rest of the season and that won't be a concern, though.
Soccer
For Karen Ferguson-Dayes and Co., the regular season will more than likely be the end of the season regardless of the final three games. The Cards are 5-6-2 on the year and sit 11th in the ACC with six points (2-5-0 record).
The ACC Tournament consists of six teams and four of them have already reached 15 or more points. The max Louisville can get would be 15 points (five total wins x three points each) assuming they come out on top in their final three matches. Those remaining matches include a struggling NC State team and highly ranked North Carolina and Duke.
Louisville's record and RPI won't earn them an at-large birth so they have to hope to make the ACC Tournament and then claim the ACC title to earn the automatic qualifier bid. There's still a chance to make it to the big dance, although the odds are slim.
Volleyball
Being ranked #2 in the country is a good way to guarantee an NCAA Tournament birth. With roughly one-third of the season remaining, there's a lot that can still happen so we won't dig too deep into this.
Since losing to Ohio State, Louisville volleyball has won 36 of 42 sets, following a similar pattern to last season. A 17-1 record is impressive. The Cards are tied with Pitt at 8-0 in the ACC. The first meeting between these two teams will be at Pitt on Sunday. The Panthers will then come to the L&N FCU Arena exactly one month from now.
Georgia Tech is next closest in the ACC standings at 6-2. Louisville holds the current tiebreaker against the Yellow Jackets, but the two foes will meet up in Atlanta on November 11. Every other ACC is 5-3 or worse in conference play.
The good news for Dani Busboom Kelly's squad is that Anna DeBeer is hopeful to return in a couple weeks- just in time to close out the regular season strong and make a run in the postseason.
Pending NCAA Tournament seedings and Louisville hosting, the first two rounds would be at L&N FCU Arena and the regionals would be held at the KFC Yum! Center.
Happy Tuesday and Go Cards!
Jared
Volleyball and Field Hockey both have what it takes to be Final Four squads. A shame we can't say that about any of the men's fall sports.
ReplyDeleteTo be fair, Men's Soccer is ranked #11.
DeleteA College Cup appearance is a challenge, but not completely out of reach.